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Seven Things Investors Should Know About Mutual Fund Ratings
By Richard A. Weiss
Chief Investment Officer, City National Bank
Many investors turn to rating systems, such as Morningstar, to gauge
how their mutual funds are doing. Rating systems are very popular with
investors and often are used as the sole determinant of whether to invest.
Unfortunately, most investors are not clear that Morningstar should be
used only as an initial screen. At City National Bank, our disciplined
fund evaluation takes many factors into consideration, and rating systems
play a very small role, if any, in our assessment of whether a fund can
consistently produce superior returns in its asset category. Here are
seven things investors should know about Morningstar ratings:
- The star rating is return-based. Although there is a risk adjustment,
stars are based on returns. Therefore, the three- and five-year star ratings
are biased toward those funds that simply performed the best over the
most recent three- and five-year periods. Investors should look at much
longer term ratings and the consistency with which funds have achieved
their objectives. Too often, a fund has a superior 10-year track record
simply because it hit a home run in only one of those years.
- Style drift is not taken into account. For example, a small cap equity
fund that “drifts” into large cap stocks – or even changes
its official asset category classification entirely to large cap –
is measured against its latest assignment. This is a significant disadvantage
to funds that remain consistent with their stated objective. Investors
should carefully examine a fund’s full history.
- Morningstar’s risk adjustment penalizes downside risk but also
upside potential. A fund cannot eliminate downside “risk”
without also limiting upside potential. In addition, the star system is
biased toward those funds that exhibit lower risk in general – a
welcomed feature only in a bear market.
- The fund categories are too broadly defined. Broad categories can
result in an “apples to oranges” comparison.
- Portfolio manager changes are not taken into account. If a portfolio
manager leaves a fund, the star system has no way of incorporating this
information.
- Key factors such as fund diversification, fund size, turnover, liquidity,
style and return consistency are NOT directly incorporated in the star
ratings.
- The star system, as currently designed, does not distinguish manager
skill from luck. More stars only imply higher returns over a selected
time period. Whether, and to what extent, a fund’s historically
superior returns continue to be attractive or even competitive in the
future requires significant additional research beyond the Morningstar
rating.
Non-Deposit Investment Products...
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This article is for information and education
purposes only and does not constitute a personal recommendation or take
into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations
or needs of individual clients. Clients should evaluate the merits and
risks associated with relying on any information provided.
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